Godoy Cruz 1-2 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Godoy Cruz
1-2 HT 0-2
Estudiantes
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Godoy Cruz vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.23
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.32 — our 38% vs market 36.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
13%
5.69
X/2
15%
4.96
X/X
19%
3.64
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.7
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Godoy Cruz v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.21/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.04
+29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.0 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Godoy Cruz vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Estudiantes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.66 xG 1.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
242 Passes 256
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-1 HT 0-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
19.02.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
22.10.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
02.04.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 3-3 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
24.11.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-3 HT 1-2 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
20.02.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Godoy Cruz 1-2 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
1-2
AWAY Estudiantes
0.62 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
329 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes edged past Godoy Cruz 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 53% of the ball to Estudiantes's 47%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.62 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Godoy Cruz and 1.83 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Estudiantes?

Godoy Cruz 1-2 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 37%, draw 32%, Estudiantes 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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