Melbourne Knights 3-0 St. Albans Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.03/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.07
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 11.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
2W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Albans Saints
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.77
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 200
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.05.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
19.02.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.06.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
27.03.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
14.03.2021 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 2-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs St. Albans Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights ran out comfortable winners over St. Albans Saints 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne Knights as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.00 for St. Albans Saints.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs St. Albans Saints?

Melbourne Knights 3-0 St. Albans Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs St. Albans Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 55%, draw 23%, St. Albans Saints 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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