Western Sydney W. II 2-3 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.2pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.85/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.69
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney W. II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.94 xG 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
349 Passes 310
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 3-3 HT 3-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
19.03.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 5-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
06.09.2020 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-3 HT 1-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden squeezed past Western Sydney W. II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rockdale Ilinden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Western Sydney W. II and 3.00 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Western Sydney W. II 2-3 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 37%, draw 24%, Rockdale Ilinden 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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