Wollongong Wolves 1-1 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Wollongong Wolves
1-1
St George City FA
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Wollongong Wolves vs St George City FA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wollongong Wolves v St George City FA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 43%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.11/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.02
-24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +116%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.3 Crosses 22.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Wollongong Wolves vs St George City FA Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wollongong Wolves
0W-0D-2L
AWAY St George City FA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.21 xG 3.66
55% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
357 Passes 270
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.06.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-2 HT 0-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
18.03.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 5-3 HT 3-2 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH Wollongong Wolves vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wollongong Wolves and St George City FA couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 21% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, St George City FA led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wollongong Wolves and 3.50 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of Wollongong Wolves vs St George City FA?

Wollongong Wolves 1-1 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wollongong Wolves vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated an St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wollongong Wolves 38%, draw 21%, St George City FA 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St George City FA), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St George City FA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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