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Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne Victory (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne Victory (K) 5-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory (K) saw off Wellington Phoenix (K) 5-3. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) had 51% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 49%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 3.02 to 0.89.
What was the final score of Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Melbourne Victory (K) 5-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 54%, draw 20%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 26%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.