Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Wellington Phoenix v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Wellington Phoenix 3-2 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix squeezed past Adelaide United 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wellington Phoenix as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Adelaide United saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 2.53 to 2.60.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Wellington Phoenix against 2.00 for Adelaide United.
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Result & Final Score
Wellington Phoenix 3 - 2 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 51%, draw 24%, Adelaide United 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.