Al Fujairah 1-1 Gulf Heroes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.8
Over Pick
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.8pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fujairah The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf Heroes The Market 22%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.44/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.54
-26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fujairah
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Gulf Heroes
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Gulf Heroes 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
05.03.2023 Gulf Heroes 1-3 HT 1-3 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
23.10.2022 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 1-2 HT 0-1 Gulf Heroes BAE2
03.04.2022 Gulf Heroes 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
18.12.2021 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 3-2 HT 0-1 Gulf Heroes BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Fujairah vs Gulf Heroes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fujairah and Gulf Heroes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fujairah at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Fujairah had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al Fujairah and 1.20 for Gulf Heroes.

What was the final score of Al Fujairah vs Gulf Heroes?

Al Fujairah 1-1 Gulf Heroes in the UAE - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fujairah vs Gulf Heroes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fujairah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Fujairah 51%, draw 19%, Gulf Heroes 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Fujairah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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