03/03/2024
·
16:25
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Masfut vs Al Dhafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
Over 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
32%
Home Win
26%
26%
Draw
23%
42%
Away Win
50%
48%
Under 2.5
42%
52%
Over 2.5
58%
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
49%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Masfut v Al Dhafra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Masfut
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Dhafra
The Market 55%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-17% /
-17%
1.33/1.70
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.61/2.29
+6%
/
-6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+50%
/
-50%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
290 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
381 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.0
Masfut vs Al Dhafra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Masfut
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Dhafra
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Masfut vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Masfut and Al Dhafra couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
Our pre-match lean was Al Dhafra at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Masfut vs Al Dhafra?
Masfut 2-2 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Masfut vs Al Dhafra?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Masfut 32%, draw 26%, Al Dhafra 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Dhafra) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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BAE2
More UAE - 1st Division
3 Mar 2024