Masafi 4-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.18
Over
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masafi The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra The Market 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.28/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.59
-14% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masafi
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
22.10.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-0 HT 1-0 Masafi Masafi BAE2
14.10.2023 Masafi Masafi 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAECK
15.01.2023 Masafi Masafi 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
29.04.2022 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 HT 0-1 Masafi Masafi BAE2
16.01.2022 Masafi Masafi 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
POST-MATCH Masafi vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masafi ran out comfortable winners over Al Jazira Al Hamra 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Masafi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Al Hamra led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Masafi and 1.60 for Al Jazira Al Hamra.

What was the final score of Masafi vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Masafi 4-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra in the UAE - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masafi vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masafi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Masafi 40%, draw 25%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masafi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Masafi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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