Guabira 3-1 Always Ready — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Always Ready EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.48/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.34
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.8 Crosses 13.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Always Ready
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.43 xG 2.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
241 Passes 274
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 0-0 HT 0-0 Always Ready Always Ready BOLİ
15.05.2023 Always Ready Always Ready 3-0 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
07.09.2022 Always Ready Always Ready 2-1 HT 0-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
27.11.2021 Always Ready Always Ready 6-1 HT 3-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
02.08.2021 Guabira Guabira 0-0 HT 0-0 Always Ready Always Ready BOLİ
01.12.2020 Always Ready Always Ready 2-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
3-1
AWAY Always Ready
1.57 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
238 Passes 266
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Always Ready
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira beat Always Ready 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guabira had 48% of the ball to Always Ready's 52%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.57 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Always Ready led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Guabira and 2.17 for Always Ready.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Always Ready?

Guabira 3-1 Always Ready in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Always Ready?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guabira 50%, draw 27%, Always Ready 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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