Wilstermann 1-2 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.26/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.27
-29% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
15.4 Crosses 15.5
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bolivar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
201 Passes 300
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 1-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLPLK
09.10.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
24.04.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 1-3 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
05.10.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
22.05.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-4 HT 0-3 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
10.04.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 0-1 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
1-2
AWAY Bolivar
0.51 xG 0.62
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
132 Passes 387
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar nicked a narrow win over Wilstermann 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bolivar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wilstermann had 33% of the ball to Bolivar's 67%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.51 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wilstermann had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wilstermann and 1.33 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Bolivar?

Wilstermann 1-2 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 38%, draw 26%, Bolivar 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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