Busan Transportation 0-1 Chuncheon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 31%
-20% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.22/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.02
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
9 Corners 2
24.06.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
28.03.2021 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 0-3 HT 0-3 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GKOK
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Chuncheon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chuncheon Citizen nicked a narrow win over Busan Transportation 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Chuncheon Citizen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Busan Transportation and 0.50 for Chuncheon Citizen.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Busan Transportation 0-1 Chuncheon Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan Transportation win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 38%, draw 28%, Chuncheon Citizen 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Busan Transportation) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan Transportation) ✓ Under 2.5
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