Yangpyeong 0-2 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 3 Mar 2024

Yangpyeong
0-2 HT 0-1
Ulsan Citizen
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2024

Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.4pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yangpyeong v Ulsan Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.67/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.89
-41% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yangpyeong
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
17.06.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen saw off Yangpyeong 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 36% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yangpyeong and 0.50 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?

Yangpyeong 0-2 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yangpyeong 31%, draw 36%, Ulsan Citizen 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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