Gimhae City 2-1 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
54%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +23%
1.84/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.08
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Changwon City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.09.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
21.05.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
22.10.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
06.08.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
26.06.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
13.03.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City squeezed past Changwon City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimhae City and 2.00 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Changwon City?

Gimhae City 2-1 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 60%, draw 22%, Changwon City 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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