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Parceiro Nagano (K) vs JEF United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parceiro Nagano (K) v JEF United (K) — Team-Based Signals
Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 JEF United (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Parceiro Nagano (K) squeezed past JEF United (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was JEF United (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 51% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 49%, shots finished 9-11.
What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs JEF United (K)?
Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs JEF United (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 29%, draw 24%, JEF United (K) 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.