Mondorf-les-Bains 0-2 Differdange 03 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Luxembourg - National League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Mondorf-les-Bains win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
77%
-17.6pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mondorf-les-Bains The Market 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Differdange 03 The Market 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
432 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mondorf-les-Bains
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Differdange 03
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 5
03.09.2023 Differdange 03 Differdange 03 1-1 HT 0-1 Mondorf-les-Bains Mondorf-les-Bains LÜK
POST-MATCH Mondorf-les-Bains vs Differdange 03
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Differdange 03 got the better of Mondorf-les-Bains 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Mondorf-les-Bains carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Mondorf-les-Bains vs Differdange 03?

Mondorf-les-Bains 0-2 Differdange 03 in the Luxembourg - National League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mondorf-les-Bains vs Differdange 03?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mondorf-les-Bains win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Mondorf-les-Bains 60%, draw 19%, Differdange 03 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mondorf-les-Bains) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mondorf-les-Bains) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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