Wiltz 4-5 Swift Hesperange — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Luxembourg - National League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No Pick
59%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
48%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
60%
-15.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wiltz The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Swift Hesperange The Market 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Wiltz vs Swift Hesperange
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swift Hesperange nicked a narrow win over Wiltz 5-4 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wiltz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Wiltz vs Swift Hesperange?

Wiltz 4-5 Swift Hesperange in the Luxembourg - National League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wiltz vs Swift Hesperange?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wiltz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wiltz 45%, draw 28%, Swift Hesperange 27%. The final score 4-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wiltz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LÜK More Luxembourg - National League
3 Mar 2024
18:00 Racing FC vs Marisca Mersch Analysis →
18:00 Fola Esch vs Schifflange Analysis →
18:00 UN Kaerjeng vs F91 Diddeleng Analysis →
18:00 Mondorf-les-Bains vs Differdange 03 Analysis →