UN Kaerjeng 2-2 F91 Diddeleng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Luxembourg - National League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
Over
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
32%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UN Kaerjeng The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY F91 Diddeleng The Market 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH UN Kaerjeng vs F91 Diddeleng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UN Kaerjeng and F91 Diddeleng couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was UN Kaerjeng at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of UN Kaerjeng vs F91 Diddeleng?

UN Kaerjeng 2-2 F91 Diddeleng in the Luxembourg - National League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UN Kaerjeng vs F91 Diddeleng?

Before kick-off our model rated a UN Kaerjeng win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UN Kaerjeng 50%, draw 25%, F91 Diddeleng 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UN Kaerjeng) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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