Cancun FC 2-2 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.5pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 20%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +17%
1.80/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.05
-1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY CA La Paz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12 Corners 6
14.09.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-4 HT 1-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
16.02.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
03.08.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC and CA La Paz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cancun FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cancun FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cancun FC and 0.67 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs CA La Paz?

Cancun FC 2-2 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 54%, draw 24%, CA La Paz 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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