Tritons Vallarta 2-3 Colima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
54%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tritons Vallarta EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Colima EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tritons Vallarta vs Colima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colima edged past Tritons Vallarta 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Colima found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tritons Vallarta vs Colima?

Tritons Vallarta 2-3 Colima in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tritons Vallarta vs Colima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tritons Vallarta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tritons Vallarta 39%, draw 29%, Colima 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tritons Vallarta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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