03/03/2024
·
04:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
La Piedad vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
38%
Draw
32%
23%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
La Piedad v Venados — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
La Piedad
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Venados
EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-9%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+3%
/
-1%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
10
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
320 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
La Piedad vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
La Piedad cruised past Venados 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 38% / 23% — and on the day La Piedad made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of La Piedad vs Venados?
La Piedad 4-1 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for La Piedad vs Venados?
Before kick-off our model rated a La Piedad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split La Piedad 39%, draw 38%, Venados 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Piedad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (La Piedad)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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MEK2
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