Lodzki KS 3-2 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 34% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.26
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
12%
4.83
X/2
11%
6.1
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.51
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 34%
-21% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.67/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.49
-51% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.0 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lodzki KS
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 1.93
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
389 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 HT 1-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
03.03.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 HT 1-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
10.08.2022 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-0 HT 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
09.03.2022 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
13.08.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-2 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
16.05.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-3 HT 1-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lodzki KS
3-2
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.94 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 10
251 Passes 203
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lodzki KS vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lodzki KS squeezed past Puszcza Niepolomice 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Lodzki KS made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lodzki KS had 52% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 48%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.94 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lodzki KS had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lodzki KS and 0.83 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Lodzki KS vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Lodzki KS 3-2 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lodzki KS vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lodzki KS win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lodzki KS 37%, draw 28%, Puszcza Niepolomice 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lodzki KS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lodzki KS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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