Leixoes vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leixoes v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Leixoes vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
Leixoes
POR2
2-3
HT 0-1
Leixoes
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR2
3-1
HT 1-0
Leixoes
POK
2-2
HT 1-2
Tondela
POK
2-2
HT 0-1
Tondela
POK
Leixoes 1-1 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Leixoes and Tondela shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Leixoes had 46% of the ball to Tondela's 54%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leixoes and 2.33 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Leixoes vs Tondela?
Leixoes 1-1 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 34%, draw 28%, Tondela 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tondela), BTTS No went the other way.