UD Oliveirense vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UD Oliveirense v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
UD Oliveirense vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
5-0
HT 4-0
UD Oliveirense
POR2
0-3
HT 0-1
UD Oliveirense
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional
POR2
3-1
HT 1-0
UD Oliveirense
POK
0-0
HT 0-0
UD Oliveirense
POR2
UD Oliveirense 0-1 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional nicked a narrow win over UD Oliveirense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, UD Oliveirense had 44% of the ball to Nacional's 56%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.50 to 2.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nacional's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.60 for Nacional.
What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Nacional?
UD Oliveirense 0-1 Nacional in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 30%, draw 25%, Nacional 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.