Akron 0-2 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.83/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.83
-38% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-1 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
01.04.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-3 HT 1-2 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
0-2
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Akron vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva beat Akron 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day FK Rodina Moskva made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Akron had 62% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 38%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Akron had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Akron and 0.50 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Akron vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Akron 0-2 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Akron 40%, draw 29%, FK Rodina Moskva 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Akron) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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