Neftekhimik 3-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
0.98/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.28
-10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2023 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
05.03.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
14.08.2022 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
06.05.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 5-2 HT 4-2 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
17.10.2021 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-3 HT 0-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
14.03.2021 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
3-0
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik swept aside Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Neftekhimik made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 55% of the ball to Alaniya Vladikavkaz's 45%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neftekhimik and 1.17 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Neftekhimik 3-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 38%, draw 29%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftekhimik), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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