Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-2 HT 1-2
Deportivo Maldonado
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 27%
+14% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -27%
1.83/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.78
+30% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
03.07.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
07.05.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 4-2 HT 3-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
28.08.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
23.07.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
05.03.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maldonado nicked a narrow win over Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 39%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.17 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 52%, draw 26%, Deportivo Maldonado 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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