South Melbourne 0-3 St. Albans Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

South Melbourne
0-3 HT 0-2
St. Albans Saints
📅03/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2025

South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

South Melbourne v St. Albans Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 23%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.58/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.15
+5% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.6 Crosses 10.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Melbourne
6W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Albans Saints
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
306 Passes 144
72% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
12.05.2024 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-4 HT 1-2 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
20.06.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 4-0 HT 4-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
26.03.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-1 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
11.06.2022 South Melbourne South Melbourne 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
13.03.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-4 HT 1-2 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans Saints swept aside South Melbourne 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had South Melbourne at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for South Melbourne and 0.50 for St. Albans Saints.

What was the final score of South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

South Melbourne 0-3 St. Albans Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 56%, draw 20%, St. Albans Saints 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (South Melbourne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South Melbourne) ✓ Over 2.5
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