Once Deportivo 1-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.6pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 55%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.23/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.66
+13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguila
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
22.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-2 HT 1-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
28.03.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
25.01.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
23.10.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-2 HT 1-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
28.08.2023 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila squeezed past Once Deportivo 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Once Deportivo and 1.50 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Aguila?

Once Deportivo 1-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 30%, draw 27%, Aguila 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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