Aguila vs Once Deportivo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aguila v Once Deportivo — Team-Based Signals
Aguila vs Once Deportivo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Aguila
ELSAL
3-1
HT 1-0
Once Deportivo
ELSAL
0-1
HT 0-0
Aguila
ELSAL
1-1
HT 0-0
Once Deportivo
ELSAL
Once Deportivo edged past Aguila 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aguila at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aguila and 0.67 for Once Deportivo.
What was the final score of Aguila vs Once Deportivo?
Aguila 1-2 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aguila vs Once Deportivo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aguila 57%, draw 25%, Once Deportivo 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguila), BTTS No went the other way.