FAS 4-1 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
42%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
42%
Away Win
27%
+14.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.25/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.24
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.03.2024 FAS FAS 0-4 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
22.01.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
15.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-2 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
27.08.2023 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
27.04.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
02.03.2023 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS ran out comfortable winners over Luis Angel Firpo 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day FAS made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAS had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FAS and 1.17 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of FAS vs Luis Angel Firpo?

FAS 4-1 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FAS 37%, draw 21%, Luis Angel Firpo 42%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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