Isidro Metapan 4-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 22 Sep 2024

Isidro Metapan
4-0 HT 1-0
Dragon
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Isidro Metapan vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.75
Over 2.5
37%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.6pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Isidro Metapan v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.28/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.93
-27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Isidro Metapan vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dragon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Dragon Dragon 3-1 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
17.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
19.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
24.08.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.04.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-2 HT 0-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
26.02.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan swept aside Dragon 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Isidro Metapan as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Isidro Metapan and 1.17 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Dragon?

Isidro Metapan 4-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 48%, draw 33%, Dragon 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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