Malacateco 1-0 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.03
No
45%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.9pp
45%
BTTS No
55%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.56/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.19
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
414 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Marquense
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 4-0 HT 3-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
01.09.2024 Marquense Marquense 2-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Marquense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Malacateco had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Malacateco and 1.00 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Marquense?

Malacateco 1-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 51%, draw 23%, Marquense 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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