Jedinstvo Ub 4-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.6pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 66%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.19/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.49
-53% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -48%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
18.5 Crosses 21.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.23 xG 1.84
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
182 Passes 407
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 0-0 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
4-1
AWAY Backa Topola
3.66 xG 1.91
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
142 Passes 330
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 42
7 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jedinstvo Ub vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jedinstvo Ub ran out comfortable winners over Backa Topola 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jedinstvo Ub had 32% of the ball to Backa Topola's 68%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 3.66 to 1.91.

What was the final score of Jedinstvo Ub vs Backa Topola?

Jedinstvo Ub 4-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jedinstvo Ub vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jedinstvo Ub 23%, draw 27%, Backa Topola 50%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Backa Topola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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