Novi Pazar 2-0 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.27/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.16
-37% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.3 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 236
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
25.02.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 3-1 HT 3-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.09.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
18.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
19.08.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.04.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-0
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
0.46 xG 0.43
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
404 Passes 247
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar beat Napredak Krusevac 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Novi Pazar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 58% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 42%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.46 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.17 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Napredak Krusevac?

Novi Pazar 2-0 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 40%, draw 28%, Napredak Krusevac 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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