Göztepe 2-2 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.3
X/2
11%
8.67
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
9%
7.26
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
2.12/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.35
+28% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.2 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
219 Passes 398
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 4-3 HT 1-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
07.04.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
06.11.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
29.12.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
14.05.2017 Göztepe Göztepe 4-1 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
24.12.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-2 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
2-2
AWAY Samsunspor
3.09 xG 0.89
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
205 Passes 324
62% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe and Samsunspor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Göztepe at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Göztepe had 41% of the ball to Samsunspor's 59%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 3.09 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Göztepe and 1.17 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Samsunspor?

Göztepe 2-2 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 52%, draw 24%, Samsunspor 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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