Samsunspor 4-3 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

Samsunspor
4-3 HT 1-2
Göztepe
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Samsunspor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
19%
4.21
X/2
9%
7.41
X/X
19%
4.06
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
9%
6.07
2/X
4%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Samsunspor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.37/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.63
-14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.7 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Samsunspor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Göztepe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.74 xG 0.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 256
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
06.11.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
29.12.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
14.05.2017 Göztepe Göztepe 4-1 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
24.12.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-2 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
14.04.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L

Samsunspor 4-3 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
4-3
AWAY Göztepe
2.02 xG 1.27
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
467 Passes 145
82% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor edged past Göztepe 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samsunspor had 70% of the ball to Göztepe's 30%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.02 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samsunspor and 1.50 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Göztepe?

Samsunspor 4-3 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 44%, draw 32%, Göztepe 23%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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