Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Galatasaray v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals
Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Kasımpaşa
TSL
1-0
HT 0-0
Kasımpaşa
TSL
2-3
HT 1-1
Galatasaray
TSL
1-3
HT 1-1
Kasımpaşa
TSL
2-2
HT 1-2
Galatasaray
TSL
Galatasaray 3-3 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics
Galatasaray and Kasımpaşa couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Galatasaray at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Galatasaray had 50% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 50%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.93 to 2.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Galatasaray and 1.83 for Kasımpaşa.
What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
Galatasaray 3-3 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 58%, draw 20%, Kasımpaşa 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galatasaray) went the other way.