Alanyaspor 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.65
X/2
10%
7.08
X/X
7%
4.45
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
17%
5.2
2/X
11%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.62/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.64
+10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.1 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
19.08.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
03.04.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
05.11.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.02.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.09.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.85 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
339 Passes 426
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor nicked a narrow win over Çaykur Rizespor 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 44% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 56%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.85 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Çaykur Rizespor.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Alanyaspor 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 45%, draw 23%, Çaykur Rizespor 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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