Alanyaspor 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
12%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 25% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.91
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
14%
4.75
X/2
9%
6.78
X/X
10%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
2/2
15%
4.8
2/X
10%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.65/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.71
+12% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.3 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 1.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
03.04.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
05.11.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.02.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.09.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
08.03.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
2-1
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.30 xG 1.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
367 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor nicked a narrow win over Çaykur Rizespor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 56% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 44%, shots finished 23-17, expected goals 2.30 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Alanyaspor 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 45%, draw 26%, Çaykur Rizespor 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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