Adana Demirspor 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.98
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 28% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.92
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.56
X/2
17%
6.83
X/X
15%
4.26
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
6%
5.17
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.44/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.40
-1% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
14.8 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
396 Passes 369
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.08.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
07.06.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
14.01.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
07.05.2018 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
23.12.2017 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
23.03.2013 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-4 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
1-1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.97 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
272 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adana Demirspor and MKE Ankaragücü shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Adana Demirspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 48% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 52%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.97 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.00 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Adana Demirspor 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Super League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adana Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 46%, draw 26%, MKE Ankaragücü 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Adana Demirspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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