Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.79
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.7
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
15%
5.23
X/2
6%
5.55
X/X
16%
4.08
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
18%
4.02
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.44/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.25
+36% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.1 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
360 Passes 506
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-2 HT 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
19.03.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-2 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
18.01.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-2 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
18.09.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
26.02.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 1-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
01.10.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-1 HT 3-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
1-1
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.95 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
273 Passes 384
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük and Başakşehir FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 44% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 56%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 0.95 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.00 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Başakşehir FK?

Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 39%, draw 30%, Başakşehir FK 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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