Pendikspor 4-0 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Jan 2024

Pendikspor
4-0 HT 1-0
Beşiktaş
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Pendikspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 28% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.0
1/2
12%
21.75
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
12%
7.44
X/2
16%
4.58
X/X
8%
5.55
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
22%
2.56
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.2pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pendikspor v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 52%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.21/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.25
-28% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
28.4 Crosses 21.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Pendikspor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 Passes 454
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TSL
17.07.2019 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor HAZ

Pendikspor 4-0 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
4-0
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.24 xG 1.90
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
216 Passes 438
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor cruised past Beşiktaş 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pendikspor had 35% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 65%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.24 to 1.90 — on chances, Beşiktaş could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pendikspor and 1.50 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Beşiktaş?

Pendikspor 4-0 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 30%, draw 20%, Beşiktaş 50%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Beşiktaş), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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