Başakşehir FK 1-0 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Mar 2025

Başakşehir FK
1-0 HT 1-0
Sivasspor
📅03/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Başakşehir FK vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.83
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.9
X/1
21%
3.83
X/2
6%
12.45
X/X
9%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.4
2/2
8%
10.8
2/X
10%
19.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Başakşehir FK v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.94/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.46
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.5 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Başakşehir FK vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.58 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
449 Passes 292
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
12.05.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
19.12.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
09.04.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
10.10.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
10.04.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL

Başakşehir FK 1-0 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
1-0
AWAY Sivasspor
1.33 xG 0.88
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
451 Passes 237
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK edged past Sivasspor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 62% of the ball to Sivasspor's 38%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.33 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.83 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Sivasspor?

Başakşehir FK 1-0 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 53%, draw 24%, Sivasspor 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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