Hamilton 0-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2026

Hamilton
0-1 HT 0-0
Stenhousemuir
📅03/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 33% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamilton v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 46%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.49/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.90
+15% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
The Meetings
06.12.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
27.09.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
29.07.2017 Hamilton Hamilton 3-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
06.04.2004 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
10.02.2004 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
08.11.2003 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir edged past Hamilton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stenhousemuir found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hamilton and 0.17 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir?

Hamilton 0-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 36%, draw 29%, Stenhousemuir 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamilton), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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