Montrose 1-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.78
Over 2.5
57%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.61
6+ Goals
13%
15.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.61 — our 27% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.69/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.87
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
06.12.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-3 HT 0-2 Montrose Montrose İK1
09.08.2025 Montrose Montrose 1-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
08.03.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
04.01.2025 Montrose Montrose 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.10.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
03.08.2024 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose and Kelty Hearts couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Montrose at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Montrose and 0.50 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?

Montrose 1-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Montrose 46%, draw 23%, Kelty Hearts 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montrose), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montrose) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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