Montrose 1-2 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.8
Over 2.5
59%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.85
No
38%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.95
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
52%
-10.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
48%
+10.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
50%
+12.2pp
38%
BTTS No
50%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.79/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.80
+10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
08.03.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
04.01.2025 Montrose Montrose 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.10.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
03.08.2024 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
17.02.2024 Montrose Montrose 4-2 HT 2-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
16.12.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts edged past Montrose 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Montrose at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montrose and 0.50 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?

Montrose 1-2 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Montrose 52%, draw 23%, Kelty Hearts 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montrose) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montrose) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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