Stenhousemuir 1-0 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+7.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.36/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.18
-6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cove Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
22.03.2025 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
25.01.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-4 HT 0-3 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
03.12.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-3 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
24.08.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-2 HT 1-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
04.09.2021 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKCK
29.02.2020 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK2
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir nicked a narrow win over Cove Rangers 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cove Rangers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.50 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

Stenhousemuir 1-0 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 31%, draw 24%, Cove Rangers 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cove Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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