Stenhousemuir 0-4 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.70/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.30
+12% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cove Rangers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
03.12.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-3 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
24.08.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-2 HT 1-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
04.09.2021 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKCK
29.02.2020 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK2
14.12.2019 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
05.10.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-2 HT 3-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK2
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cove Rangers ran out comfortable winners over Stenhousemuir 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cove Rangers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.50 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

Stenhousemuir 0-4 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 40%, draw 26%, Cove Rangers 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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