Queen Of The South 1-4 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 32% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.53/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.59
-2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hamilton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 13
30.03.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
03.02.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
02.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 5-0 HT 3-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
23.09.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 1-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
07.02.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCK
26.03.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton cruised past Queen Of The South 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 28%) promised a tight game; Hamilton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Queen Of The South and 2.00 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Hamilton?

Queen Of The South 1-4 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 40%, draw 31%, Hamilton 28%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
9 Aug 2025
17:00 Inverness CT vs Peterhead Analysis →
17:00 Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers Analysis →
17:00 East Fife vs Alloa Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Montrose vs Kelty Hearts Analysis →